#3190135
Tá na géardheacrachtaí sin níos measa mar gheall ar roinnt rioscaí breise, lena n-áirítear teacht aniar in éileamh GNL na hÁise, lena bhféadfaí infhaighteacht gáis ar an margadh gáis domhanda a laghdú, geimhreadh fuar a d’fhéadfadh a bheith ina chúis le méadú suas le 30 bcm ar an éileamh ar ghás, teagmhais adhaimsire a d’fhéadfadh difear a dhéanamh don stóráil hidreachumhachta agus don táirgeadh núicléach mar gheall ar leibhéil ísle uisce, as a n-eascródh an méadú ina dhiaidh sin ar an éileamh ar ghiniúint cumhachta gásadhainte, suaitheadh breise ar bhonneagair chriticiúla, amhail na gníomhartha sabaitéireachta i gcoinne phíblínte Nord Stream i mí Mheán Fómhair 2022 nó suaitheadh i bpíblíne nascóirí Mhuir Bhailt i mí Dheireadh Fómhair 2023, agus meath ar an timpeallacht gheopholaitiúil, go háirithe i dtíortha agus i réigiúin atá ábhartha do shlándáil an tsoláthair fuinnimh san Aontas, mar shampla an Úcráin, an Asarbaiseáin, agus an Meánoirthear.
Such severe difficulties are exacerbated by a number of additional risks, including a rebound in Asian LNG demand, which could reduce the availability of gas on the global gas market, a cold winter which could lead to an increase in the demand for gas of up to 30 bcm, extreme weather conditions potentially affecting hydropower storage and nuclear production due to low water levels which would lead to the subsequent increase in demand for gas-fired power generation, further disruptions of critical infrastructures, such as the acts of sabotage against the Nord Stream pipelines in September 2022 or the disruption of the Balticconnector pipeline in October 2023, and a deterioration of the geopolitical environment, in particular in countries and regions relevant to Union energy security of supply, such as Ukraine, Azerbaijan, and the Middle East.